Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

Polymarket traders put "October 12" at 24.0% on "Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?". $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 32 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 31.

Most likely right now
October 12
24%
TechVol $1.3KTotal volume $1.3KLiquidity $2.3Kin 1 months (Oct 31)
Current probability

Sep 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 12
24.0%
October 13
15.0%
No release by October 31
15.0%
October 29
14.0%
On or prior to October 1
13.5%
October 7
13.5%
October 11
13.5%
October 14
13.5%
October 16
13.5%
October 31
13.5%
October 5
13.0%
October 8
13.0%
October 9
13.0%
October 15
13.0%
October 23
13.0%
October 24
13.0%
October 2
12.5%
October 17
12.5%
October 18
12.5%
October 19
12.5%
October 20
12.5%
October 22
12.5%
October 27
12.5%
October 10
12.0%
October 6
10.5%
October 26
9.00%
October 28
8.00%
October 30
8.00%
October 21
7.50%
October 25
7.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.