Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?
Polymarket traders put "No government formed" at 36.5% on "Which coalition will form the next Israeli government?". $3.7K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 22 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
No government formed
–37%
PoliticsVol $3.7KTotal volume $3.9KLiquidity $110Kin 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 31 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
No government formed
36.5%
–
L + Y + T + S + U
33.9%
–
Y + T + D + S + U + R
19.6%
–
Y + T + B + D + R
18.5%
–
L + Y + T + B
17.5%
–
L + S + U + O + Z + T
11.0%
–
Y + T + B + D
7.50%
–
L + Y + S + U
7.00%
–
Y + T + D + S + U
7.00%
–
L + S + U
5.70%
–
L + Y + T
5.50%
–
Y + T
5.50%
–
Other
5.50%
–
L + S + U + O + Z + B
4.10%
–
L + S + U + O + Z + Y
3.85%
–
L + S + U + O + Z
3.80%
–
Y + T + B + D + S + U
3.55%
–
L + Y
3.50%
–
Y + T + B + D + R + J
2.15%
–
L + Y + S + U + Z
2.10%
–
L + Y + T + B + S + U
2.10%
–
Y + T + B + D + S
2.05%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
