Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

Polymarket traders put "No Next Minister by Feb 28" at 29.5% on "Next Israeli Minister of National Security?". Up 4.5%p from yesterday. $3.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 1.

Most likely right now
No Next Minister by Feb 28
▲4.530%
PoliticsVol $3.2KTotal volume $3.2KLiquidity $2.4Kin 5 months (Mar 1)
Current probability

Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
No Next Minister by Feb 28
29.5%
▲4.5
Ofer Winter
18.5%
–
Matan Kahana
18.0%
–
Elazar Stern
18.0%
–
Itamar Ben Gvir
10.5%
▼16.5
Avi Dichter
7.50%
▼17.0
Yossi Cohen
3.25%
▼23.8
Gideon Sa’ar
2.95%
▼24.1
Amir Ohana
2.35%
▼24.6

Probability over time

No Next Minister by Feb 28
Ofer Winter
Matan Kahana
Elazar Stern
Itamar Ben Gvir
Avi Dichter
025507510010/110/2
2026-10-01 ~ 2026-10-02 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.