Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Polymarket traders put "Abiy Ahmed" at 97.7% on "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?". Unchanged from yesterday. $223K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jun 1.

Most likely right now
Abiy Ahmed
98%
PoliticsVol $223KTotal volume $284.6MLiquidity $179KComments 46Closed (Jun 1)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Abiy Ahmed
97.7%
Gedion Timothewos
0.75%
Berhanu Nega
0.60%
Adanech Abiebie
0.60%
Alesa Mengesha
0.45%
Belete Molla
0.35%
Demeke Mekonnen
0.30%
Shimelis Abdisa
0.30%

Probability over time

Abiy Ahmed
Gedion Timothewos
Berhanu Nega
Adanech Abiebie
Alesa Mengesha
Belete Molla
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.