Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Polymarket traders put "Giorgia Meloni" at 54.5% on "Next Prime Minister of Italy?". $10 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 12 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Giorgia Meloni
–55%
PoliticsVol $10Total volume $93KLiquidity $178KComments 18in 2.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Giorgia Meloni
54.5%
–
Elly Schlein
19.5%
▲1.0
Giuseppe Conte
13.0%
–
Roberto Vannacci
8.25%
–
Silvia Salis
5.30%
▲0.6
Matteo Renzi
0.90%
–
Mario Draghi
0.85%
–
Matteo Salvini
0.55%
–
Angelo Bonelli
0.45%
–
Carlo Calenda
0.40%
–
Antonio Tajani
0.35%
–
Guido Crosetto
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Giorgia Meloni
Elly Schlein
Giuseppe Conte
Roberto Vannacci
Silvia Salis
Matteo Renzi
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
