Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Polymarket traders put "Giorgia Meloni" at 47.5% on "Next Prime Minister of Italy?". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. $259 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 12 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
Giorgia Meloni
1.048%
PoliticsVol $259Total volume $77KLiquidity $139KComments 16in 2.3 years (Dec 31)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Giorgia Meloni
47.5%
1.0
Elly Schlein
14.0%
Giuseppe Conte
13.0%
Roberto Vannacci
7.90%
Silvia Salis
7.65%
Mario Draghi
2.00%
Matteo Renzi
0.65%
Guido Crosetto
0.40%
Antonio Tajani
0.35%
Matteo Salvini
0.35%
Angelo Bonelli
0.25%
Carlo Calenda
0.25%

Probability over time

Giorgia Meloni
Elly Schlein
Giuseppe Conte
Roberto Vannacci
Silvia Salis
Mario Draghi
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.