Next Qwen Max (3.9+) released on...?

Polymarket traders put "November 8" at 44.5% on "Next Qwen Max (3.9+) released on...?". $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 25 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
November 8
–45%
TechVol $1.4KTotal volume $1.4KLiquidity $16Kin 23 days (Dec 1)
Current probability

Nov 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 8
44.5%
–
November 7
35.5%
–
November 11
35.5%
–
November 10
35.0%
–
November 27
34.7%
–
November 18
34.0%
–
November 21
29.5%
–
November 25
29.0%
–
November 24
25.8%
–
No release by November 30
25.0%
–
November 26
24.0%
–
November 16
23.5%
–
November 19
18.5%
–
November 20
17.0%
–
November 13
16.0%
–
November 12
15.5%
–
November 28
15.0%
–
November 23
13.0%
–
November 15
12.5%
–
November 14
12.0%
–
November 30
12.0%
–
November 29
5.00%
–
November 17
4.50%
–
November 22
2.70%
–
On or prior to November 6
0.00%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.