Next Senate Majority Leader?

Polymarket traders put "Chuck Schumer" at 47.0% on "Next Senate Majority Leader?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $371 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Chuck Schumer
▼0.547%
PoliticsVol $371Total volume $173KLiquidity $351KComments 2in 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Chuck Schumer
47.0%
▼0.5
John Thune
25.0%
▼0.5
Brian Schatz
8.85%
–
Tom Cotton
5.50%
–
Chris Van Hollen
4.75%
▲1.1
Patty Murray
2.90%
–
Cory Booker
2.55%
–
Steve Daines
1.50%
–
John Barrasso
0.75%
–
Amy Klobuchar
0.15%
–
Mark Kelly
0.15%
–

Probability over time

Chuck Schumer
John Thune
Brian Schatz
Tom Cotton
Chris Van Hollen
Patty Murray
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.