Next UK by-election called by…?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 64.0% on "Next UK by-election called by…?". Up 3.0%p from yesterday. $90 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
▲3.064%
PoliticsVol $90Total volume $4.8KLiquidity $5.2Kin 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
64.0%
▲3.0
September 30
18.5%
▼1.5
Probability over time
December 31
September 30
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
