Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "María Corina Machado" at 56.0% on "Next Venezuelan Presidential Election Winner". Up 9.5%p from yesterday. $7.8K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
María Corina Machado
▲9.556%
PoliticsVol $7.8KTotal volume $7.8KLiquidity $115KComments 2in 3.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 28 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
María Corina Machado
56.0%
▲9.5
Edmundo González
12.5%
▼34.0
Delcy Rodríguez
12.0%
▼34.5
Henrique Capriles
8.15%
▼38.4
Marco Rubio
3.50%
▼43.0
Diosdado Cabello
3.45%
▼43.0
Manuel Rosales
1.55%
▼45.0
Nicolás Maduro
1.05%
▼45.5
Donald Trump
1.00%
▼45.5
Jorge Rodríguez
1.00%
▼45.5

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.