Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

Polymarket traders put "March 31, 2027" at 24.5% on "Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $6.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 1.

Most likely right now
March 31, 2027
▼1.025%
PoliticsVol $6.1KTotal volume $287KLiquidity $47KComments 24in 6 months (Apr 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
March 31, 2027
24.5%
▼1.0
December 31, 2026
8.50%
▲1.0

Probability over time

March 31, 2027
December 31, 2026
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.