Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

Most likely right now
March 31, 2027
0.523%
PoliticsVol $5Total volume $246KLiquidity $25KComments 21in 7 months (Apr 1)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
March 31, 2027
22.5%
0.5
December 31, 2026
13.5%
1.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.