Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Bola Tinubu" at 73.0% on "Nigerian Presidential Election Winner". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. $871 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 17.

Most likely right now
Bola Tinubu
▲2.073%
PoliticsVol $871Total volume $130KLiquidity $159KComments 4in 3 months (Jan 17)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Bola Tinubu
73.0%
▲2.0
Peter Obi
24.5%
▲0.5
Omoyele Sowore
0.50%
–
Rabiu Kwankwaso
0.45%
–
Rotimi Amaechi
0.30%
–

Probability over time

Bola Tinubu
Peter Obi
Omoyele Sowore
Rabiu Kwankwaso
Rotimi Amaechi
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.