NJ-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 40%+" at 35.5% on "NJ-06 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 7.0%p from yesterday. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 40%+
▲7.036%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $200Liquidity $9.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 40%+
35.5%
▲7.0
Democrat 35-40%
30.0%
▼7.5
Democrat 30-35%
30.0%
▼8.5
Democrat 15-20%
29.5%
–
Democrat 20-25%
28.0%
▼10.5
Democrat 10-15%
26.5%
▼5.0
Republican Wins
2.95%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
