NJ-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 31.5% on "NJ-09 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $72 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▼0.532%
PoliticsVol $72Total volume $6.9KLiquidity $128Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
31.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 15-20%
29.5%
▲2.0
Democrat 10-15%
25.5%
–
Democrat 25-30%
7.75%
–
Democrat 5-10%
6.50%
▼0.5
Democrat 0-5%
4.00%
–
Democrat 30%+
3.65%
▲0.5
Republican Wins
3.00%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
