NJ-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 10-15%" at 33.0% on "NJ-09 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 7.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 10-15%
▼7.533%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.2Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 10-15%
33.0%
▼7.5
Democrat 5-10%
32.5%
▼7.0
Democrat 25-30%
32.0%
▼3.5
Democrat 0-5%
31.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 30%+
26.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 15-20%
24.5%
▼10.0
Democrat 20-25%
23.5%
▼6.0
Republican Wins
6.50%
▼29.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
