NJ-10 House Election Margin of Victory

Most likely right now
Democrat 65-70%
5.531%
PoliticsVol $198Total volume $242Liquidity $9.7Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 65-70%
30.5%
5.5
Democrat 60-65%
28.0%
8.0
Democrat 0-35%
27.5%
7.0
Democrat 55-60%
27.0%
11.0
Democrat 50-55%
26.0%
9.0
Democrat 45-50%
26.0%
13.0
Democrat 70-75%
25.5%
5.0
Democrat 75%+
24.0%
13.0
Democrat 35-45%
22.0%
13.5
Republican Wins
3.10%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.