NJ-10 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 60-65%" at 32.0% on "NJ-10 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. $70 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 60-65%
▼2.532%
PoliticsVol $70Total volume $11KLiquidity $95Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 60-65%
32.0%
▼2.5
Democrat 65-70%
27.5%
–
Democrat 50-55%
13.1%
–
Democrat 35-45%
10.6%
▲5.1
Democrat 55-60%
10.0%
▼3.5
Democrat 70-75%
7.00%
▲1.0
Democrat 0-35%
4.35%
–
Democrat 45-50%
3.25%
–
Republican Wins
1.40%
–
Democrat 75%+
0.75%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 35-45%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 70-75%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
