No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by...?

Polymarket traders put "October 15" at 22.5% on "No change flips Hike 25 bps for October Fed by...?". $785 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 16.

Most likely right now
October 15
–23%
EconomyVol $785Total volume $785Liquidity $742in 21 days (Oct 16)
Current probability

Sep 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 15
22.5%
–
September 30
5.40%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.