Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

Polymarket traders put "Donald Trump" at 9.0% on "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027". $6.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 16 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 1.

Most likely right now
Donald Trump
–9%
PoliticsVol $6.6KTotal volume $6.5KLiquidity $274Kin 1.5 years (Apr 1)
Current probability

Oct 13 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Donald Trump
9.00%
–
Yulia Navalnaya
8.50%
–
UNRWA
8.50%
–
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms
7.15%
–
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya
7.00%
–
International Criminal Court
7.00%
–
Doctors Without Borders
7.00%
–
Committee to Protect Journalists
6.50%
–
António Guterres
6.00%
–
Jimmy Lai
6.00%
–
International Court of Justice
6.00%
–
Greta Thunberg
5.50%
–
Julian Assange
4.05%
–
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
4.00%
–
Elon Musk
3.15%
–
Pope Leo XIV
2.15%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.