North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Cooper 9-12%" at 26.5% on "North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory". Up 4.0%p from yesterday. $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Cooper 9-12%
▲4.027%
PoliticsVol $1.2KTotal volume $14KLiquidity $133Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Cooper 9-12%
26.5%
▲4.0
Cooper 6-9%
24.5%
▲5.0
Cooper 3-6%
19.5%
▼2.0
Cooper 12-15%
15.3%
▲8.3
Cooper 0-3%
14.5%
–
Cooper 15-18%
5.10%
–
Whatley 0-3%
3.90%
–
Cooper 18%+
3.05%
–
Whatley 3-6%
0.85%
–
Whatley 6%+
0.45%
–

Probability over time

Cooper 9-12%
Cooper 6-9%
Cooper 3-6%
Cooper 12-15%
Cooper 0-3%
Cooper 15-18%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.