Northern Midlands Mayoral Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Mary Knowles" at 73.5% on "Northern Midlands Mayoral Election Winner". $522 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 28.

Most likely right now
Mary Knowles
74%
PoliticsVol $522Total volume $522Liquidity $17Kin 2 months (Oct 28)
Current probability

Sep 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Mary Knowles
73.5%
Adam Barnett
12.0%
Andrew McCullagh
7.50%
Wendy Mitchell
7.00%
Angela Offord
4.00%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.