November 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
Polymarket traders put "1st hottest" at 72.5% on "November 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?". Up 5.5%p from yesterday. $1.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 29.
Most likely right now
1st hottest
▲5.573%
TechVol $1.6KTotal volume $1.6KLiquidity $2.9Kin 2 months (Dec 29)
Current probability
Nov 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
1st hottest
72.5%
▲5.5
2nd hottest
16.0%
▼10.5
3rd hottest
7.00%
▼21.0
4th or lower
3.60%
▼23.4
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
