Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?
Polymarket traders put "<4" at 57.0% on "Number of North Korea Missile Tests in August 2026?". Down 7.5%p from yesterday. $15K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Aug 31.
Most likely right now
<4
▼7.557%
PoliticsVol $15KTotal volume $37KLiquidity $88Kin 4 days (Aug 31)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
<4
57.0%
▼7.5
4
34.3%
▲14.7
5
5.55%
▼2.9
6+
2.30%
▼3.0
Probability over time
<4
4
5
6+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
