Number of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?

Polymarket traders put "<1" at 25.5% on "Number of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?". Up 3.0%p from yesterday. $48 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 30.

Most likely right now
<1
3.026%
PoliticsVol $48Total volume $1.1KLiquidity $50Kin 1 months (Sep 30)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
<1
25.5%
3.0
2
21.5%
1
19.0%
8.0
3
17.0%
0.5
4+
12.5%

Probability over time

<1
2
1
3
4+
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.