NV-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 3-6%" at 38.0% on "NV-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 12.0%p from yesterday. $480 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 3-6%
▲12.038%
PoliticsVol $480Total volume $11KLiquidity $41Kin 17 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 3-6%
38.0%
▲12.0
Democrat 0-3%
20.6%
▲4.2
Republican 0-3%
16.1%
–
Republican 9-12%
15.5%
▲7.0
Republican 6-9%
12.0%
▼6.5
Democrat 6%+
7.95%
–
Republican 18%+
7.05%
▲1.7
Republican 12-15%
4.60%
–
Republican 15-18%
3.55%
–
Democrat 3-6%
2.85%
▼1.9
Probability over time
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 0-3%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 6-9%
Democrat 6%+
2026-08-26 ~ 2026-10-15 · y-axis %
