NV-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 6-9%" at 17.0% on "NV-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $1 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 6-9%
▲0.517%
PoliticsVol $1Total volume $905Liquidity $37Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Sep 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 6-9%
17.0%
▲0.5
Republican 3-6%
15.0%
–
Republican 9-12%
14.5%
–
Republican 0-3%
14.0%
–
Republican 12-15%
12.5%
–
Republican 15-18%
10.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 0-3%
9.95%
–
Democrat 3-6%
5.50%
–
Republican 18%+
5.00%
–
Democrat 6%+
4.10%
▼0.5
Probability over time
Republican 6-9%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 0-3%
Republican 12-15%
Republican 15-18%
2026-08-26 ~ 2026-09-03 · y-axis %
