NY-14 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 45-50%" at 31.5% on "NY-14 House Election Margin of Victory". $114 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 45-50%
–32%
PoliticsVol $114Total volume $12KLiquidity $81Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 45-50%
31.5%
–
Democrat 40-45%
30.0%
▲7.5
Democrat 50-55%
22.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 55-60%
15.3%
▲3.5
Democrat 35-40%
6.90%
–
Democrat 0-25%
6.40%
▲0.6
Democrat 65%+
4.75%
▼0.6
Democrat 25-35%
3.90%
–
Republican Wins
2.30%
–
Democrat 60-65%
0.55%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 0-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
