NY-14 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "NY-14 House Election Margin of Victory" at 19.0%. Down 5.0%p from yesterday. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican Wins
5.019%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $983in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican Wins
19.0%
5.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.