NY-16 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 50-55%" at 33.0% on "NY-16 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $190 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 50-55%
▼1.533%
PoliticsVol $190Total volume $16KLiquidity $154Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 50-55%
33.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 45-50%
24.1%
▲1.7
Democrat 55-60%
17.0%
–
Democrat 60%+
11.5%
▲3.5
Democrat 40-45%
8.00%
▲2.0
Democrat 35-40%
2.55%
–
Democrat 30-35%
1.35%
–
Democrat 0-20%
1.00%
–
Democrat 20-30%
0.55%
–
Republican Wins
0.55%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 60%+
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 35-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
