NY-16 House Election Margin of Victory
Most likely right now
Democrat 60%+
▼3.032%
PoliticsVol $240Total volume $257Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 60%+
31.5%
▼3.0
Democrat 50-55%
31.0%
▲9.5
Democrat 40-45%
30.5%
▼8.5
Democrat 55-60%
28.0%
▼7.5
Democrat 35-40%
25.5%
▲2.0
Democrat 45-50%
24.0%
▼10.0
Democrat 20-30%
24.0%
▼5.5
Democrat 30-35%
23.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 0-20%
23.0%
▼0.5
Republican Wins
7.00%
▼15.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
