NY-20 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35-40%" at 27.0% on "NY-20 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $152 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35-40%
▼1.027%
PoliticsVol $152Total volume $16KLiquidity $84Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35-40%
27.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 30-35%
26.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 25-30%
21.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 40%+
7.95%
▲0.8
Democrat 20-25%
5.50%
▼2.3
Democrat 15-20%
4.85%
▲0.6
Republican Wins
4.15%
▲2.7
Democrat 0-10%
1.55%
–
Democrat 10-15%
0.50%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 40%+
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
