NY-20 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 0-10%" at 25.5% on "NY-20 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 0-10%
–26%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $214Liquidity $10Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 0-10%
25.5%
–
Democrat 20-25%
23.0%
▼6.0
Democrat 35-40%
21.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 30-35%
21.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 15-20%
19.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 40%+
18.0%
▼3.5
Democrat 10-15%
17.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 25-30%
16.0%
▼3.5
Republican Wins
2.60%
▲1.5
Probability over time
Democrat 0-10%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 40%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
