NY-23 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 31.5% on "NY-23 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $376 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▼1.532%
PoliticsVol $376Total volume $9.6KLiquidity $84Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
31.5%
▼1.5
Republican 20-25%
23.5%
–
Republican 10-15%
19.7%
▲0.8
Republican 25-30%
15.5%
–
Republican 5-10%
6.75%
–
Republican 0-5%
6.10%
▲0.8
Democrat Wins
5.90%
▲1.0
Republican 30-35%
5.15%
–
Republican 35%+
1.75%
–
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
