NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
Polymarket traders put "35-39" at 32.0% on "NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 8.
Most likely right now
35-39
▲1.532%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $24KLiquidity $58Kin 1 months (Nov 8)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
35-39
32.0%
▲1.5
30-34
31.0%
–
40-44
20.5%
–
<30
14.3%
▼2.5
55+
7.55%
▲0.7
45-49
5.90%
–
50-54
1.75%
–
Probability over time
35-39
30-34
40-44
<30
55+
45-49
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
