NZ Election: National Party # of seats?
Polymarket traders put "30-34" at 41.0% on "NZ Election: National Party # of seats?". Up 5.0%p from yesterday. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 8.
Most likely right now
30-34
▲5.041%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $23KLiquidity $44Kin 1 months (Nov 8)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
30-34
41.0%
▲5.0
35-39
36.0%
▼3.0
40-44
22.0%
▼0.5
50+
9.40%
▼3.4
<25
7.85%
–
45-49
5.50%
–
25-29
0.80%
–
Probability over time
30-34
35-39
40-44
50+
<25
45-49
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
