NZ Election: Opportunity Party # of seats?
Polymarket traders put "7-9" at 44.5% on "NZ Election: Opportunity Party # of seats?". $20 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 8.
Most likely right now
7-9
–45%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $20Liquidity $1.2Kin 10 days (Nov 8)
Current probability
Oct 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
7-9
44.5%
–
10-12
37.0%
–
<4
26.0%
–
13+
20.0%
–
4-6
17.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
