Oaxaca Congress Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Morena" at 43.5% on "Oaxaca Congress Election Winner". $623 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jun 7.

Most likely right now
Morena
–44%
PoliticsVol $623Total volume $603Liquidity $331in 8 months (Jun 7)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Morena
43.5%
–
PT
41.5%
–
PVEM
27.5%
–
PAN
16.5%
–
MC
11.0%
–
PRI
7.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.