OH-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 35-40%" at 32.7% on "OH-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.4%p from yesterday. $100 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 35-40%
▲1.433%
PoliticsVol $100Total volume $7.3KLiquidity $123Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 35-40%
32.7%
▲1.4
Republican 30-35%
29.0%
–
Republican 25-30%
20.4%
–
Republican 50%+
9.85%
▼4.1
Republican 40-45%
9.50%
▼2.5
Republican 45-50%
7.65%
▼2.2
Republican 20-25%
4.60%
▼0.8
Republican 0-10%
1.95%
▲1.5
Republican 10-20%
0.60%
–
Democrat Wins
0.30%
–

Probability over time

Republican 35-40%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 50%+
Republican 40-45%
Republican 45-50%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.