OH-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 45-50%" at 28.0% on "OH-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 45-50%
3.028%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $20Liquidity $2.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 45-50%
28.0%
3.0
Republican 40-45%
28.0%
3.0
Republican 35-40%
28.0%
4.0
Republican 50%+
27.5%
2.5
Republican 30-35%
23.0%
4.0
Republican 25-30%
23.0%
3.0
Republican 0-10%
22.0%
5.0
Republican 20-25%
21.0%
3.5
Republican 10-20%
18.5%
5.0
Democrat Wins
18.5%
1.0

Probability over time

Republican 45-50%
Republican 40-45%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 50%+
Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.