OH-12 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 33.5% on "OH-12 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▲0.534%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $15KLiquidity $84Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
33.5%
▲0.5
Republican 15-20%
26.9%
▼1.3
Republican 10-15%
12.4%
–
Republican 25-30%
12.0%
▲0.5
Republican 30-35%
8.25%
–
Democrat Wins
6.05%
▲3.8
Republican 35-40%
5.05%
–
Republican 40%+
2.55%
–
Republican 0-10%
1.70%
–
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 30-35%
Democrat Wins
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
