OH-14 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 30.6% on "OH-14 House Election Margin of Victory". $40 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
–31%
PoliticsVol $40Total volume $13KLiquidity $74Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
30.6%
–
Republican 30%+
18.3%
▲7.0
Republican 5-10%
15.8%
–
Republican 15-20%
12.0%
▼5.5
Republican 0-5%
10.3%
▲0.5
Republican 25-30%
7.15%
▼3.9
Republican 20-25%
6.75%
▲0.5
Democrat Wins
6.70%
–

Probability over time

Republican 10-15%
Republican 30%+
Republican 5-10%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 25-30%
02550751008/259/119/189/2510/210/910/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.