OH-14 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 30%+" at 28.5% on "OH-14 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 30%+
3.528%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $26Liquidity $9.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 30%+
28.5%
3.5
Republican 0-5%
28.5%
1.0
Republican 25-30%
28.0%
5.5
Republican 5-10%
27.5%
3.5
Republican 10-15%
25.5%
5.0
Republican 20-25%
22.5%
4.0
Republican 15-20%
20.0%
7.0
Democrat Wins
9.75%
3.3

Probability over time

Republican 30%+
Republican 0-5%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 20-25%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.