Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana" at 54.5% on "Ongo Niua 17 By-Election Winner". Up 12.0%p from yesterday. $114 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 8.

Most likely right now
'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana
12.055%
PoliticsVol $114Total volume $114Liquidity $322in 28 days (Oct 8)
Current probability

Sep 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
'Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana
54.5%
12.0
Sitiveni Selui
42.5%
14.5
'Aisake Hoatatau Finau
42.0%
17.5
Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala
20.0%
6.0
Sione Tuifio Hui
11.0%
32.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.