OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

Polymarket traders put "OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?" at 55.5%. $461 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?
56%
TechVol $461Total volume $461Liquidity $1.1Kin 1.3 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Sep 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?
55.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.