OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?
Polymarket traders put "OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?" at 48.0%. Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $158 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?
▼0.548%
TechVol $158Total volume $2.4KLiquidity $451in 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?
48.0%
▼0.5
Probability over time
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?
2026-09-19 ~ 2026-11-07 · y-axis %
