Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Kotek 6-9%" at 19.6% on "Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.9%p from yesterday. $116 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Kotek 6-9%
▼1.920%
PoliticsVol $116Total volume $13KLiquidity $173Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Kotek 6-9%
19.6%
▼1.9
Kotek 9-12%
19.0%
▲0.5
Kotek 12-15%
13.5%
▲1.5
Kotek 3-6%
13.1%
–
Kotek 0-3%
8.55%
–
Drazan 6%+
6.50%
–
Drazan 0-3%
6.25%
▼0.8
Kotek 15-18%
4.50%
▲0.6
Kotek 18%+
4.00%
–
Drazan 3-6%
3.75%
–

Probability over time

Kotek 6-9%
Kotek 9-12%
Kotek 12-15%
Kotek 3-6%
Kotek 0-3%
Drazan 6%+
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.