PA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Most likely right now
Democrat 50-55%
▲3.036%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $20Liquidity $1.2Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 50-55%
36.0%
▲3.0
Democrat 35-40%
30.5%
▼8.0
Democrat 30-35%
29.5%
▼8.5
Democrat 45-50%
28.5%
▼10.5
Democrat 60%+
28.0%
▼4.5
Democrat 55-60%
27.5%
▼13.0
Democrat 20-30%
22.5%
▼13.5
Republican Wins
19.4%
▲18.2
Democrat 40-45%
17.5%
▼5.5
Democrat 0-20%
17.5%
▼11.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
