PA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 50-55%" at 38.2% on "PA-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 27.4%p from yesterday. $2.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 50-55%
▲27.438%
PoliticsVol $2.2KTotal volume $11KLiquidity $125Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 50-55%
38.2%
▲27.4
Democrat 55-60%
23.1%
▼8.2
Democrat 45-50%
21.5%
▼3.0
Democrat 60%+
11.0%
▼7.0
Democrat 0-20%
4.95%
▲1.1
Democrat 35-40%
4.45%
▼0.9
Republican Wins
4.40%
–
Democrat 40-45%
3.65%
▼4.6
Democrat 20-30%
0.85%
▼1.9
Democrat 30-35%
0.80%
▼3.4
Probability over time
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 60%+
Democrat 0-20%
Democrat 35-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
