PA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Most likely right now
Democrat 15-20%
▼1.035%
PoliticsVol $58Total volume $94Liquidity $1.3Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 15-20%
34.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 35-40%
32.0%
▼5.0
Democrat 40%+
30.0%
▼10.5
Democrat 0-10%
30.0%
▼7.0
Democrat 30-35%
25.5%
▼14.0
Democrat 25-30%
21.0%
▼14.0
Democrat 10-15%
17.5%
▼6.0
Democrat 20-25%
16.5%
▼7.0
Republican Wins
8.00%
▼10.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
