PA-12 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 34.0% on "PA-12 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 7.0%p from yesterday. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▲7.034%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $195Liquidity $9.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
34.0%
▲7.0
Democrat 30-35%
29.0%
▲6.5
Republican Wins
3.15%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
