PA-12 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 28.8% on "PA-12 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
–29%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $18KLiquidity $140Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
28.8%
–
Democrat 25-30%
25.0%
▲1.5
Democrat 20-25%
16.5%
–
Democrat 35-40%
9.50%
–
Democrat 15-20%
9.50%
–
Democrat 10-15%
3.25%
–
Democrat 40%+
2.95%
–
Democrat 0-10%
0.30%
–
Republican Wins
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
