PA-17 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 5-10%" at 29.5% on "PA-17 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 5-10%
▲3.530%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.1Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 5-10%
29.5%
▲3.5
Democrat 0-5%
26.5%
▼3.5
Democrat 10-15%
25.0%
▼15.5
Democrat 15-20%
24.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 20-25%
23.0%
▼16.0
Democrat 25-30%
22.0%
▼5.0
Democrat 30%+
21.5%
▼15.5
Republican Wins
14.5%
▼7.5
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
