PA-17 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 30.5% on "PA-17 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.0%p from yesterday. $70 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▲3.031%
PoliticsVol $70Total volume $8.3KLiquidity $90Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
30.5%
▲3.0
Democrat 15-20%
27.5%
▲1.5
Democrat 10-15%
18.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 5-10%
11.5%
▲0.5
Democrat 25-30%
10.6%
–
Democrat 30%+
7.65%
▼1.1
Democrat 0-5%
3.65%
–
Republican Wins
0.60%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 30%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
