Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?

Polymarket traders put "November 15" at 64.5% on "Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?". $1.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 16.

Most likely right now
November 15
–65%
PoliticsVol $1.6KTotal volume $1.6KLiquidity $43Kin 1 months (Nov 16)
Current probability

Oct 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 15
64.5%
–
October 31
52.0%
–
October 15
42.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.