Paris curfew announced by...?

Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 8.5% on "Paris curfew announced by...?". $27K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
October 31
–9%
PoliticsVol $27KTotal volume $27KLiquidity $89KComments 1in 13 days (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
8.50%
–
October 24
6.50%
–
October 21
2.45%
–
October 19
1.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.