Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026?

Polymarket traders put "Democratic Party" at 63.5% on "Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026?". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. $259 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Democratic Party
▲2.564%
PoliticsVol $259Total volume $8.9KLiquidity $57Kin 9 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democratic Party
63.5%
▲2.5
Republican Party
34.5%
▲2.0

Probability over time

Democratic Party
Republican Party
02550751009/119/199/2710/510/1310/2110/26
2026-09-11 ~ 2026-10-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.