Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Polymarket traders put "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?" at 17.5%. Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $6.5K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
▼1.518%
PoliticsVol $6.5KTotal volume $497KLiquidity $46Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
17.5%
▼1.5
Probability over time
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
