Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

Polymarket traders put "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?" at 8.5%. $780 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
–9%
PoliticsVol $780Total volume $780Liquidity $2.0Kin 2 months (Dec 1)
Current probability

Oct 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?
8.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.