Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

Polymarket traders put "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?" at 10.5%. $326 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Oct 31.

Most likely right now
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
11%
PoliticsVol $326Total volume $309Liquidity $9.6Kin 2 months (Oct 31)
Current probability

Sep 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
10.5%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.