Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
Polymarket traders put "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?" at 3.9%. Down 1.4%p from yesterday. $3.4K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Oct 31.
Most likely right now
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
▼1.44%
PoliticsVol $3.4KTotal volume $38KLiquidity $25Kin 13 days (Oct 31)
Current probability
Oct 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
3.85%
▼1.4
Probability over time
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
2026-09-04 ~ 2026-10-19 · y-axis %
