Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?

Polymarket traders put "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?" at 3.5%. $1.9K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Sep 30.

Most likely right now
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?
4%
PoliticsVol $1.9KTotal volume $1.9KLiquidity $13Kin 27 days (Sep 30)
Current probability

Sep 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?
3.50%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.