Plateau, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh" at 79.5% on "Plateau, Nigeria Governor Election Winner". There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Feb 7.

Most likely right now
Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh
–80%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $12KLiquidity $70Kin 4 months (Feb 7)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh
79.5%
–
Kefas Ropshik
12.6%
▼1.5
Margaret Inusa Yahaya
2.55%
–
John Sunday Sura
1.05%
–
Sunday Garba Biggs
0.80%
–

Probability over time

Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh
Kefas Ropshik
Margaret Inusa Yahaya
John Sunday Sura
Sunday Garba Biggs
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.