Precipitation in Seoul in November?

Polymarket traders put "30-45mm" at 45.5% on "Precipitation in Seoul in November?". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. $157 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Feb 8.

Most likely right now
30-45mm
▲2.546%
TechVol $157Total volume $157Liquidity $276in 3 months (Feb 8)
Current probability

Nov 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
30-45mm
45.5%
▲2.5
55-65mm
45.5%
▲2.5
20-30mm
38.5%
▼5.0
45-55mm
38.0%
▼5.5
85mm+
38.0%
▼5.5
65-85mm
35.5%
▼9.5
<20mm
10.5%
▼32.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.