Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

Polymarket traders put "Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?" at 2.6%. Unchanged from yesterday. $174 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
October 31
–3%
PoliticsVol $174Total volume $6.6KLiquidity $17Kin 3 days (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
2.60%
–

Probability over time

October 31
02550751009/139/2610/310/1010/1710/2410/29
2026-09-13 ~ 2026-10-29 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.