Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?
Polymarket traders put "September 30" at 52.0% on "Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. $87 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
September 30
▲2.552%
PoliticsVol $87Total volume $87Liquidity $179in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Sep 6 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
September 30
52.0%
▲2.5
September 15
39.0%
▼1.0
August 31
34.0%
▼6.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
